Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Sunday, April 11, 2010

The Greek Echo

As reported by Bloomberg, it would appear that, as soon as next week, IMF will be formally involved with rescuing the plunging Greek economy. The world markets heaved a collective sigh of relief on Friday, as Euro and Greek bond prices rebounded from their week's lows.

One has to remember, however, that rather signaling as the end of the crisis, the combined efforts of IMF and EU to provide much needed finance and supports in economic restructuring merely mark the end of a chapter in an epic novel.

For one, Greece will have to go through the painful reforms as prescribed by IMF which depends on the political will of the government and the supports of its people.

Then, there is the contagious ripple effect. The Asian Financial Crisis is the case in point. Initially targeting the Thai baht as its peg to US Dollar did not reflect Thailand's economic position, market participants quickly trained their focus on its neighbouring East Asian economies after the baht was forced off the peg and IMF agreed to provide emergency funding in the Summer of 1997. Over the next 12 months, from Indonesia, The Philippines , South Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia to Singapore, currencies and stock markets of each of these countries, one after another, were under attack.

It will therefore be very interesting to see if the episodes of the Tom Yum Goong Crisis in 1997 will be repeated and, if so, which market(s) will the Greek Echo reverberate through next? Afterall (and befittingly), the word echo came from the Greek mythology.



Tuesday, May 12, 2009

A short story on economics

A theorist, a psychiatrist and an economist are teeing off in a round of golf. The game is rather slow as the flight before them takes a long time to finish each hole. After several holes, they begin to grumble:

The theorist: In the name of the Almighty, may their action be met with just punishment for playing so slowly.

The psychiatrist: I wonder who in the right mind will play out each hole at such unenjoyable pace.

The economist: It is costing us too much time.

At the ninth hole, their patience runs out and they approach the sole caddy of the slow flight and request for moving ahead. The caddy duly complies and explains that the two golfers are former firemen and their eyesight was severely damaged during a mission and hence the slow pace.

The theorist: May the Almighty forgive me for I should not have lay curse on them.

THe psychiatrist: Shame on me. As a trained psychiatrist, I should have better controlled my emotion and be more understanding.

The economist: They should have played at night.

Translated from a passage in a Chinese book: "Stories from Economist"

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Paul Krugman

As a reader who follows Professor Krugman's writings (especially his analysis of the Asian economies before and after the 1990's crisis), I am really pleased about his winning the Nobel Memorial Prize for Economic Science. A sampling of his work- a public lecture that he gave in 2004, may be downloaded at http://forum.wgbh.org

And because of his high public profile (he is a regular columnist at NYT) and his consistent criticism of the Bush Administration and the conservatism in public policies, there are naturally some criticism in the Swedish Academy's decision in giving out the award, especially in the time of financial great unraveling (pun intended). One example is the austrian economists blog.